“Why does high quality dividend growth investing deliver persistently higher returns? Why don’t investors see that this strategy delivers persistently higher returns and bid up the price of assets making up this strategy so that it no longer delivers persistently higher returns? Efficient markets and all that .”
~ Mike L.
It doesn’t “persistently” deliver higher returns. It has periods of under-performance and periods of over-performance. There are some companies that out-deliver in execution and others that under-deliver – and then times where those two lists switch places. The madness of the crowds might have times where it over-does expectations in this category of investment but that is less definable than you may think since the universe of dividend growth contains a wide array of investment categories. No proposition of mine for dividend growth investing comes down to “it will persistently outperform others.” The proposition is, actually, counter to that whole mentality. I am not interested in what others will do or think (markets – your question). I care about what the companies are doing, and that is the underlying argument for dividend growth investing – removing the investment thesis from exogenous factors to endogenous ones.