Dividend Cafe is the place to come for a caffeinated stroll through our investment brain. We combine weekly ad hoc market perspective with evergreen truths and principles, covering a wide array of topics from macroeconomic to vanilla asset allocation. We want it to be readable for people of all levels of investor sophistication, and, most importantly, want it to be an authentic reflection of what we believe. The regurgitation of other’s investment perspective can be found anywhere. The Dividend Cafe is our material, for good or for bad.
Keeping an AI Bubble from Hurting You – November 14, 2025
The current AI story lends itself to one of the classic investor mistakes repeated many times throughout history.
VIEW MORE >
Where do things stand with China? – November 7, 2025
Today, we are going to look at the new China trade deal, what it says about the US/China relationship, and what it may mean for ...
VIEW MORE >
Private Markets Trick or Treat? – October 31, 2025
There are trillions of dollars in "private markets." You will be shocked to hear that I think I can add nuance to the subject.
VIEW MORE >
These Are Not Your Parents’ Index Funds! – October 24, 2025
Index funds aren’t what they used to be—explore their evolution, risks, and impact on markets and investor behavior.
VIEW MORE >
AI and the Future of Jobs – October 17, 2025
This week's edition is meant to remind all of us about some very important first principles. If that kind of thing cheers you up, so ...
VIEW MORE >
Investment Conviction in a Time of “Revolution”? – October 10, 2025
It just so happens that where we are going today has some ancient grounding. And I didn't need AI to teach me these lessons.
VIEW MORE >
Some Invigorating Takeaways from our Week with the Greatest Minds on Wall Street – October 3, 2025
Today, we provide a high-level overview of some of the major themes, takeaways, and debates from our week with Wall Street money managers.
VIEW MORE >
When Labor Market Reality and Cultural Crisis Become One – September 26, 2025
Dear Valued Clients and Friends, The third quarter of 2025 will come to an end next week. I do not believe very many people would ...
VIEW MORE >
The Fed and the Punch Bowl – September 19, 2025
We are delivering our view of what the Fed is doing and why, and the far more important takeaway of what investors should be doing, ...
VIEW MORE >