Monday Edition

Dividend Cafe is the place to come for a caffeinated stroll through our investment brain. We combine weekly ad hoc market perspective with evergreen truths and principles, covering a wide array of topics from macroeconomic to vanilla asset allocation. We want it to be readable for people of all levels of investor sophistication, and, most importantly, want it to be an authentic reflection of what we believe. The regurgitation of other’s investment perspective can be found anywhere. The Dividend Cafe is our material, for good or for bad.

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Dividend Cafe – MONDAY – March 30, 2026

Another day of prior winners losing and prior losers winning, and a whole weekend of news that makes today's edition quite worthwhile.
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MONDAY – March 23, 2026

The market fluctuated throughout the day before closing up 631 points. This is the environment we are in, not a good world for market timers.
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MONDAY – March 16, 2026

The growth rate for fourth quarter GDP was revised down to +0.7% (from +1.4%), which was itself meaningfully lower than the expected +2.5%
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MONDAY – March 9, 2026

WTI briefly hit $115 but then sits below $87 as I type right now, meaning one very important thing - people are acting insane.
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SPECIAL Iran Issue – MONDAY – March 2, 2026

Instead of a flight to safety (bond yields generally collapse as people look for a safe haven) we see bond yields up today.
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Special Dividend Cafe: TARIFF TREATMENT MONDAY – February 23, 2026

Today's edition focuses on Friday's Supreme Court ruling, striking down the IEEPA rationale for tariffs, and what it means going forward.
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MONDAY – February 9, 2026

The Dow’s close above 50,000 on Friday was a momentous event. It has been a cruel set of decades to perma-bears (that is true of ...
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MONDAY – February 2, 2026

The biggest news of the weekend was the President’s Friday-morning announcement of Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve chair.
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MONDAY – January 26, 2026

A normal Monday in the Dividend Cafe, only this is no normal Monday.  This is a winter tundra Monday.  Lots of nuggets as we go ...
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